Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 17:30
11.7253.4%
X3.4726.5%
24.5620.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
WWWWWWLDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Burgos
LWLLDLWDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
7.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
1.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

2.10goals per match
Burgos conceded1.00
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.70goals per match
Castellon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
7.60
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.60
Match total
5.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
29.80
Match total
28.40

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.80
On target
2.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches719
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%57.0%+3.6 pp
Draw26.5%24.3%-2.1 pp
Away20.1%18.6%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.680.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
2-113.1%
1-111.5%
2-09.6%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.924.00
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=719.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT43.3%37.0%–49.9% CI
Draw FT38.8%32.7%–45.4% CI
Away FT17.9%13.4%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.6%
Away42.4%