Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 17:30
11.7253.4%
X3.4726.5%
24.5620.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Castellon
WWWWWWLDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Burgos
LWLLDLWDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
7.60
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Castellon attack
2.10goals per matchBurgos conceded1.00Matchup
Burgos attack
0.70goals per matchCastellon conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
7.60
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.60
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
29.80
Match total
28.40
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.80
On target
2.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches719
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%57.0%+3.6 pp
Draw26.5%24.3%-2.1 pp
Away20.1%18.6%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
1.68–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.5%
2-113.1%
1-111.5%
2-09.6%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–4.00
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=719.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT43.3%37.0%–49.9% CI
Draw FT38.8%32.7%–45.4% CI
Away FT17.9%13.4%–23.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.6%
Away42.4%