Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:15
11.7353.1%
X3.5825.7%
24.3221.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Zaragoza
WLLDDDLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Ceuta
DWLLLWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

1.20goals per match
Ceuta conceded2.30
Matchup

Ceuta attack

1.10goals per match
Zaragoza conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.90
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
29.20
Match total
25.20

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.00
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches774
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%56.3%+3.2 pp
Draw25.7%26.2%+0.6 pp
Away21.3%17.4%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.750.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.0%
2-112.0%
1-111.2%
2-09.7%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.073.99
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=774.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches228
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.7%38.4%–51.2% CI
Draw FT41.2%35.0%–47.7% CI
Away FT14.0%10.1%–19.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.5%
Away35.1%