Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:15
11.7353.1%
X3.5825.7%
24.3221.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
WLLDDDLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Ceuta
DWLLLWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
10.10
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.20goals per matchCeuta conceded2.30Matchup
Ceuta attack
1.10goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
10.10
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.90
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
29.20
Match total
25.20
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.00
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches774
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%56.3%+3.2 pp
Draw25.7%26.2%+0.6 pp
Away21.3%17.4%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.75–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.0%
2-112.0%
1-111.2%
2-09.7%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–3.99
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=774.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches228
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.7%38.4%–51.2% CI
Draw FT41.2%35.0%–47.7% CI
Away FT14.0%10.1%–19.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.5%
Away35.1%