Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 17:30
13.5625.8%
X3.3727.2%
21.9547.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mirandes
WLDLWDLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Castellon
WWLDDWDLLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
7.00N=10
4.30
Against
3.60
10.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.10goals per match
Castellon conceded1.40
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.50goals per match
Mirandes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.60
10.40
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.50
Match total
5.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
26.80
Match total
25.50

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
5.00
On target
4.80
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches228
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.8%22.4%-3.4 pp
Draw27.2%25.4%-1.8 pp
Away47.0%52.2%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.121.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-213.2%
0-19.6%
0-27.9%
1-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.58
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=228.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%12.0%–30.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.2%–49.0% CI
Away FT43.1%32.3%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals56.9%
3+ goals29.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away68.1%