Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:30
12.2940.0%
X3.1828.8%
22.9431.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Malaga
WDWWWWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Las Palmas
WLDWLDDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.00
Against
3.70
8.10
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Malaga attack
2.20goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.40Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.20goals per matchMalaga conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.70
8.10
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.10
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
26.00
Match total
28.20
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
7.80
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,285
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%41.6%+1.6 pp
Draw28.8%29.3%+0.5 pp
Away31.2%29.0%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.37–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
1-011.1%
2-110.5%
0-19.3%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.60
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,285.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches406
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.3%28.8%–38.0% CI
Draw FT38.9%34.3%–43.7% CI
Away FT27.8%23.7%–32.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away48.3%