Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:15
12.1143.3%
X3.0030.5%
23.4826.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
LLDWWWDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sp Gijon
LWWLWLDLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.20
Against
6.10
9.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded1.40
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.00goals per match
Burgos conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.10
9.50
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
26.50
Match total
20.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches686
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%45.8%+2.5 pp
Draw30.5%30.8%+0.3 pp
Away26.3%23.5%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.300.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
1-114.3%
0-010.9%
2-09.9%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.133.81
Average total8.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=686.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.3%
Over 9.539.4%
Over 10.529.2%
Over 11.521.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches268
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.9%31.4%–42.9% CI
Draw FT42.5%36.8%–48.5% CI
Away FT20.5%16.1%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away39.6%