Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 19:30
11.8549.6%
X3.4526.6%
23.8623.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ceuta
WWDWLWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sociedad B
LWDDLWWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.90
Against
5.90
9.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ceuta attack

1.80goals per match
Sociedad B conceded1.20
Matchup

Sociedad B attack

1.20goals per match
Ceuta conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.90
9.40
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.70
Match total
5.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
29.50
Match total
27.00

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.20
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches678
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%48.7%-0.9 pp
Draw26.6%26.8%+0.2 pp
Away23.8%24.5%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.641.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-09.7%
2-19.1%
2-08.4%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.914.35
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=678.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.8%32.9%–47.1% CI
Draw FT38.7%31.9%–45.9% CI
Away FT21.5%16.2%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals19.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.4%
Away45.9%