Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 18:00
11.6256.5%
X3.7524.4%
24.8119.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Castellon
WWWWWWWLDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Granada
DWLLWLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.40
Against
5.90
8.10
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Castellon attack
2.30goals per matchGranada conceded1.20Matchup
Granada attack
1.20goals per matchCastellon conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.90
8.10
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.30
Match total
26.40
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches664
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%58.9%+2.3 pp
Draw24.4%23.2%-1.2 pp
Away19.0%17.9%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.83–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.4%
1-011.4%
1-19.8%
2-09.2%
0-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.16–3.89
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=664.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.4%39.4%–53.4% CI
Draw FT35.9%29.5%–42.9% CI
Away FT17.7%13.0%–23.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.9%
Away39.6%