Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 17:30
11.6655.3%
X3.6025.5%
24.7619.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WDLWLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Leganes
WLDWLLLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
9.90
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.70
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
2.50goals per matchLeganes conceded1.50Matchup
Leganes attack
1.20goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
9.90
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.10
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
28.60
Match total
26.40
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.20
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches596
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%59.7%+4.5 pp
Draw25.5%22.5%-3.0 pp
Away19.3%17.8%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
1.82–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.8%
1-011.7%
2-09.1%
1-18.9%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–3.90
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=596.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.1%37.9%–52.5% CI
Draw FT39.3%32.3%–46.7% CI
Away FT15.6%11.0%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals18.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.0%
Away39.3%