Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 17:30
11.6655.3%
X3.6025.5%
24.7619.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WDLWLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Leganes
WLDWLLLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
9.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.70
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

2.50goals per match
Leganes conceded1.50
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.20goals per match
Almeria conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
9.90
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.10
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
28.60
Match total
26.40

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.20
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches596
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%59.7%+4.5 pp
Draw25.5%22.5%-3.0 pp
Away19.3%17.8%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.820.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
1-011.7%
2-09.1%
1-18.9%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.90
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=596.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.1%37.9%–52.5% CI
Draw FT39.3%32.3%–46.7% CI
Away FT15.6%11.0%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.0%
Away39.3%