Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 13:00
11.6954.3%
X3.4426.7%
24.8319.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eibar
LLWWWWWWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Ceuta
LDWLLLWLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.20
Against
5.20
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Eibar attack

1.70goals per match
Ceuta conceded2.20
Matchup

Ceuta attack

1.20goals per match
Eibar conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.20
8.60
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
26.20
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.30
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches619
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%56.5%+2.2 pp
Draw26.7%24.2%-2.5 pp
Away19.0%19.2%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.680.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-013.7%
1-111.3%
2-09.2%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.953.70
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=619.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.2%40.4%–54.2% CI
Draw FT29.6%23.7%–36.3% CI
Away FT23.1%17.8%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.9%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.3%
Away42.2%