Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 17:30
11.8948.4%
X3.3827.1%
23.7424.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
La Coruna
WLLDLWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Malaga
LDWWWLLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
La Coruna attack
1.20goals per matchMalaga conceded1.10Matchup
Malaga attack
1.70goals per matchLa Coruna conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
24.30
Match total
24.00
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.20
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.4%47.6%-0.9 pp
Draw27.1%27.4%+0.3 pp
Away24.5%25.0%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS51.8%
Historical average
1.48–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.2%
1-011.7%
2-110.3%
2-09.1%
0-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.65–4.20
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,192.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches395
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.7%33.1%–42.6% CI
Draw FT37.0%32.3%–41.8% CI
Away FT25.3%21.3%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.9%
Away42.3%