Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 17:30
11.8948.4%
X3.3827.1%
23.7424.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

La Coruna
WLLDLWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Malaga
LDWWWLLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

La Coruna attack

1.20goals per match
Malaga conceded1.10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.70goals per match
La Coruna conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
24.30
Match total
24.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.20
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.4%47.6%-0.9 pp
Draw27.1%27.4%+0.3 pp
Away24.5%25.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.481.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-011.7%
2-110.3%
2-09.1%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.654.20
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,192.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches395
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.7%33.1%–42.6% CI
Draw FT37.0%32.3%–41.8% CI
Away FT25.3%21.3%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away42.3%