Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-02 · 19:00
11.9247.6%
X3.7024.7%
23.3027.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
WWWWWWWWLD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Almeria
WLWLDLWDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.30
Against
4.80
7.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

2.30goals per match
Almeria conceded1.40
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.60goals per match
Castellon conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.80
7.90
Match total
8.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.70
Match total
5.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
28.50
Match total
25.80

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.30
On target
5.40
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%49.8%+2.2 pp
Draw24.7%24.5%-0.2 pp
Away27.7%25.7%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.721.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-010.5%
2-09.3%
2-17.6%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.34
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.7%43.4%–65.4% CI
Draw FT26.7%18.0%–37.6% CI
Away FT18.7%11.5%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.3%
2+ goals50.7%
3+ goals18.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.7%
Away44.0%