Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-01 · 19:00
11.8150.7%
X3.1429.2%
24.5620.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
DLLDWWWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ceuta
LLDWLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.30
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.50
Against
4.80
9.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
1.80
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.20goals per match
Ceuta conceded2.30
Matchup

Ceuta attack

1.10goals per match
Burgos conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.80
9.50
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.90
Match total
26.20

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches427
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.7%49.9%-0.8 pp
Draw29.2%32.1%+2.9 pp
Away20.1%18.0%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS41.5%

Historical average

1.370.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.6%
0-012.9%
2-012.4%
1-112.4%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.363.88
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=426.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.3%37.0%–51.9% CI
Draw FT42.5%35.3%–50.1% CI
Away FT13.2%8.9%–19.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.1%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.9%
Away29.9%