Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-01 · 19:00
11.8150.7%
X3.1429.2%
24.5620.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
DLLDWWWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ceuta
LLDWLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.30
20%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.50
Against
4.80
9.50
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
1.80
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
1.20goals per matchCeuta conceded2.30Matchup
Ceuta attack
1.10goals per matchBurgos conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.80
9.50
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.90
Match total
26.20
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches427
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.7%49.9%-0.8 pp
Draw29.2%32.1%+2.9 pp
Away20.1%18.0%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS41.5%
Historical average
1.37–0.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.6%
0-012.9%
2-012.4%
1-112.4%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–3.88
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=426.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.3%37.0%–51.9% CI
Draw FT42.5%35.3%–50.1% CI
Away FT13.2%8.9%–19.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.1%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.9%
Away29.9%