Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-29 · 20:00
11.5359.8%
X4.0322.7%
25.2517.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WWDLWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Sociedad B
LLLWDDLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.80
Against
6.30
9.50
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
2.30goals per matchSociedad B conceded1.20Matchup
Sociedad B attack
1.50goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.30
9.50
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
28.00
Match total
27.90
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.70
On target
5.40
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches343
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.8%62.1%+2.3 pp
Draw22.7%21.6%-1.1 pp
Away17.4%16.3%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
2.08–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.1%
2-010.8%
1-010.2%
2-19.0%
3-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.17–3.62
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=343.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.0%44.7%–66.7% CI
Draw FT30.7%21.4%–41.8% CI
Away FT13.3%7.4%–22.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals24.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.3%
Away38.7%