Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-28 · 17:30
11.9646.5%
X3.2628.0%
23.5725.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DWDWWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Leganes
LWLDWLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.70
Against
4.30
7.10
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.80
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

2.40goals per match
Leganes conceded1.70
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.30goals per match
Malaga conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.30
7.10
Match total
8.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.40
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
27.50
Match total
27.10

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
7.90
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches961
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.5%46.8%+0.3 pp
Draw28.0%28.3%+0.3 pp
Away25.5%24.9%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.441.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-012.8%
2-19.8%
2-09.2%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.32
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=961.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches325
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.5%32.4%–42.9% CI
Draw FT36.9%31.9%–42.3% CI
Away FT25.5%21.1%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.0%
Away42.5%