Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-28 · 15:15
12.1542.4%
X3.0130.3%
23.3527.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
LWLDLDLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Burgos
WWLWLLDLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
0.60
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
6.00
8.60
Total
9.80
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
1.00goals per matchBurgos conceded0.90Matchup
Burgos attack
0.70goals per matchValladolid conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.00
8.60
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
27.70
Match total
29.40
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.50
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches767
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%44.6%+2.1 pp
Draw30.3%30.6%+0.3 pp
Away27.2%24.8%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.29–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.1%
1-114.9%
0-09.8%
2-09.4%
0-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–3.98
Average total8.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=767.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.539.6%
Over 10.530.1%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches296
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.1%30.9%–41.8% CI
Draw FT41.9%36.4%–47.6% CI
Away FT22.0%17.6%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.7%
Away44.3%