Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 20:00
12.6934.1%
X3.2728.0%
22.4237.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
WDDDWLWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Castellon
LDWWLDDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.00
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.20goals per match
Castellon conceded1.00
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.00
10.20
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.50
Match total
25.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
4.70
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches539
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%31.7%-2.4 pp
Draw28.0%27.8%-0.2 pp
Away37.9%40.4%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.251.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-110.6%
1-29.6%
1-09.1%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.06
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=539.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.0%18.9%–32.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%28.0%–42.7% CI
Away FT40.0%32.7%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.0%
Away58.1%