Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:15
12.9531.1%
X3.4326.8%
22.1842.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cultural Leonesa
LWWLLDLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Santander
WLWWDDWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cultural Leonesa attack

0.70goals per match
Santander conceded1.20
Matchup

Santander attack

1.60goals per match
Cultural Leonesa conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
7.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.30
Match total
30.60

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.90
5%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%29.9%-1.3 pp
Draw26.8%28.0%+1.2 pp
Away42.1%42.2%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS57.2%

Historical average

1.261.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
0-18.9%
1-28.7%
0-07.8%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.755.21
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=585.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT20.5%15.1%–27.1% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.3%–47.8% CI
Away FT39.2%32.2%–46.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals19.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.8%
Away60.8%