Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:15
12.9531.1%
X3.4326.8%
22.1842.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cultural Leonesa
LWWLLDLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Santander
WLWWDDWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cultural Leonesa attack
0.70goals per matchSantander conceded1.20Matchup
Santander attack
1.60goals per matchCultural Leonesa conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
7.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.30
Match total
30.60
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.90
5%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches586
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%29.9%-1.3 pp
Draw26.8%28.0%+1.2 pp
Away42.1%42.2%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS57.2%
Historical average
1.26–1.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.3%
0-18.9%
1-28.7%
0-07.8%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.75–5.21
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=585.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches171
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT20.5%15.1%–27.1% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.3%–47.8% CI
Away FT39.2%32.2%–46.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals19.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.8%
Away60.8%