Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 17:30
12.3239.4%
X2.9730.8%
23.0729.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
LWLLDLWWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Eibar
LLLDLDLDDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.80
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.80
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.00goals per match
Eibar conceded1.50
Matchup

Eibar attack

0.40goals per match
Leganes conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
9.60
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.30
Match total
26.90

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
4.10
On target
2.30
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches746
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%39.4%-0.0 pp
Draw30.8%30.6%-0.2 pp
Away29.8%30.0%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.221.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-011.1%
1-210.6%
0-010.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.23
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=746.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches277
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.8%26.6%–37.5% CI
Draw FT42.6%36.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT25.6%20.8%–31.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away48.4%