Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 20:00
11.9347.4%
X3.3027.7%
23.6924.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
WWDWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Valladolid
DDLWLLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
7.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

2.30goals per match
Valladolid conceded1.90
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.20goals per match
Malaga conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
7.40
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.10
Match total
5.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.00
Match total
28.50

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.60
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%47.0%-0.4 pp
Draw27.7%28.0%+0.2 pp
Away24.8%25.0%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.451.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-012.7%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.14
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,161.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches387
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.5%32.8%–42.4% CI
Draw FT38.0%33.3%–42.9% CI
Away FT24.5%20.5%–29.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away40.1%