Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 20:00
11.9347.4%
X3.3027.7%
23.6924.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Malaga
WWDWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Valladolid
DDLWLLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
7.40
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Malaga attack
2.30goals per matchValladolid conceded1.90Matchup
Valladolid attack
1.20goals per matchMalaga conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
7.40
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.10
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.00
Match total
28.50
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.60
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,161
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%47.0%-0.4 pp
Draw27.7%28.0%+0.2 pp
Away24.8%25.0%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.45–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-012.7%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%
2-09.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–4.14
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,161.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches387
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.5%32.8%–42.4% CI
Draw FT38.0%33.3%–42.9% CI
Away FT24.5%20.5%–29.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.2%
Away40.1%