Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 17:30
11.7751.7%
X3.2228.4%
24.6119.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
LWDLLDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mirandes
DLLLDLLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.90
10%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.10
8.10
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
1.40
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
0.70goals per matchMirandes conceded1.90Matchup
Mirandes attack
0.90goals per matchBurgos conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.10
8.10
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
28.20
Match total
27.20
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
6%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%53.5%+1.8 pp
Draw28.4%29.6%+1.1 pp
Away19.9%16.9%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS38.5%
Historical average
1.36–0.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-019.2%
0-013.6%
2-012.2%
1-110.3%
2-19.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–3.66
Average total9.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.517.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.4%33.2%–54.1% CI
Draw FT43.4%33.2%–54.1% CI
Away FT13.3%7.6%–22.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.1%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.4%
Away31.3%