Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:15
13.7424.5%
X3.5226.0%
21.8549.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad B
WWWWLLDDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Castellon
DLDWWLDDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
6.70N=10
5.10
Against
3.90
8.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
2.40
Total goals
1.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sociedad B attack

1.40goals per match
Castellon conceded0.60
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.10goals per match
Sociedad B conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.90
8.40
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.70
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
28.60
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches440
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.5%22.3%-2.2 pp
Draw26.0%27.7%+1.7 pp
Away49.5%50.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.021.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-210.9%
0-110.7%
0-28.2%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.40
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=440.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%13.1%–26.3% CI
Draw FT41.4%33.3%–49.9% CI
Away FT39.8%31.9%–48.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.4%
Away60.2%