Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-06-01 · 17:30
11.2276.5%
X6.2315.0%
210.978.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
DDDDWWWWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Tenerife
LDLLLLWDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.10
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

2.00goals per match
Tenerife conceded1.30
Matchup

Tenerife attack

0.70goals per match
Almeria conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
25.00
Match total
29.10

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.50
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.5%82.4%+5.8 pp
Draw15.0%12.5%-2.5 pp
Away8.5%5.1%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.542.6%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

2.560.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.0%
2-014.0%
3-111.0%
4-08.8%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.793.21
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.0%44.5%–79.8% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.0%
2+ goals72.0%
3+ goals36.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.0%
Away48.0%