Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-31 · 15:15
12.7034.6%
X2.9431.7%
22.7733.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ferrol
LDLLLDLWLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Sp Gijon
DLDDDLWLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
8.90
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
1.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ferrol attack
0.50goals per matchSp Gijon conceded1.70Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.20goals per matchFerrol conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
8.90
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.60
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.70
4%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%32.0%-2.5 pp
Draw31.7%33.9%+2.1 pp
Away33.7%34.1%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.517.4%
BTTS44.5%
Historical average
1.03–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-014.8%
1-112.2%
1-012.0%
0-112.0%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–4.65
Average total9.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.8%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.532.8%
Over 11.524.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%20.9%–34.8% CI
Draw FT45.5%37.8%–53.3% CI
Away FT27.3%20.9%–34.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.01
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.0%
2+ goals26.0%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.3%
Away39.6%