Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-30 · 19:30
12.0046.8%
X3.7325.1%
23.3228.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
LLLWWDDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Zaragoza
LLWLDLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
8.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.30
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.80goals per match
Zaragoza conceded2.10
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

1.10goals per match
Castellon conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
8.30
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
18.50N=10
20.80
Match total
30.90

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.90
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%44.9%-1.8 pp
Draw25.1%23.6%-1.5 pp
Away28.2%31.5%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

1.801.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-212.4%
1-210.1%
1-19.0%
2-17.9%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.47
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.561.4%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away50.0%