Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 17:30
11.5360.9%
X4.4820.8%
25.1018.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Granada
WDWDDWWWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Castellon
LLWDLLDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.90
Against
4.00
9.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Granada attack

1.70goals per match
Castellon conceded1.70
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.10goals per match
Granada conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.00
9.20
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.10
Match total
26.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.70
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches139
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.9%56.8%-4.1 pp
Draw20.8%19.4%-1.4 pp
Away18.3%23.7%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.141.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.1%
2-08.6%
3-07.9%
0-17.2%
1-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.413.92
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.4%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Draw FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Away FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away34.4%