Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 17:30
11.2673.8%
X5.2517.7%
211.018.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WWWWWWWWDL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Malaga
WLLWDLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.10
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.90goals per match
Malaga conceded1.60
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.20goals per match
Elche conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.10
10.10
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.40
Match total
26.80

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
6.00
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.8%74.5%+0.6 pp
Draw17.7%17.0%-0.7 pp
Away8.4%8.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

2.170.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.1%
3-017.0%
2-110.6%
1-110.6%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.722.85
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.8%
Away37.5%