Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 20:00
11.7653.0%
X4.0123.3%
23.9423.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
DDDDDWWWWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Santander
LDWLDDLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
1.90goals per matchSantander conceded1.80Matchup
Santander attack
1.30goals per matchAlmeria conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.30
Match total
28.30
Shots
17.40N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.50
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.0%54.7%+1.6 pp
Draw23.3%20.0%-3.3 pp
Away23.7%25.3%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS62.7%
Historical average
2.00–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-09.3%
1-29.3%
2-18.0%
1-08.0%
1-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.04–4.13
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away57.1%