Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 20:00
11.7653.0%
X4.0123.3%
23.9423.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
DDDDDWWWWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Santander
LDWLDDLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.90goals per match
Santander conceded1.80
Matchup

Santander attack

1.30goals per match
Almeria conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
6.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.30
Match total
28.30

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.50
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.0%54.7%+1.6 pp
Draw23.3%20.0%-3.3 pp
Away23.7%25.3%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

2.001.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-09.3%
1-29.3%
2-18.0%
1-08.0%
1-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.044.13
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away57.1%