Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 15:15
11.6756.1%
X4.0023.4%
24.5620.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
WLLLWWDDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Eldense
LDWDWWLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.20
Against
3.90
7.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

2.10goals per match
Eldense conceded1.50
Matchup

Eldense attack

0.90goals per match
Castellon conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.90
7.90
Match total
8.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
20.40
Match total
25.70

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%61.2%+5.1 pp
Draw23.4%22.1%-1.3 pp
Away20.5%16.7%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

2.051.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
2-010.4%
1-110.2%
3-18.1%
1-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.03
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.9%41.0%–62.7% CI
Draw FT35.1%25.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT13.0%7.2%–22.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals55.8%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away37.7%