Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 15:15
11.6756.1%
X4.0023.4%
24.5620.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Castellon
WLLLWWDDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Eldense
LDWDWWLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.20
Against
3.90
7.90
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Castellon attack
2.10goals per matchEldense conceded1.50Matchup
Eldense attack
0.90goals per matchCastellon conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.90
7.90
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
20.40
Match total
25.70
Shots
17.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.40
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%61.2%+5.1 pp
Draw23.4%22.1%-1.3 pp
Away20.5%16.7%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS60.9%
Historical average
2.05–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.0%
2-010.4%
1-110.2%
3-18.1%
1-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.93–4.03
Average total9.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.9%41.0%–62.7% CI
Draw FT35.1%25.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT13.0%7.2%–22.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.74
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals55.8%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away37.7%