Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 20:00
11.5460.8%
X3.7125.2%
26.6714.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tenerife
WLDWLWWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ferrol
LLWLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
2.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.60
Against
5.30
9.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.50
2.20
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Tenerife attack

1.40goals per match
Ferrol conceded2.50
Matchup

Ferrol attack

0.40goals per match
Tenerife conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.30
9.00
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.10
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
30.50
Match total
25.20

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.60
On target
2.10
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.8%59.7%-1.1 pp
Draw25.2%28.4%+3.1 pp
Away14.0%11.9%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

1.730.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.4%
2-013.4%
1-111.9%
3-09.0%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.523.55
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.7%
Over 9.543.3%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away35.0%