Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 17:30
11.7354.0%
X3.6225.8%
24.6320.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Eldense
DLLLWLDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Malaga
DWLLWDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
6.20
10.60
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Eldense attack
0.90goals per matchMalaga conceded1.50Matchup
Malaga attack
1.20goals per matchEldense conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.20
10.60
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.40
Match total
26.20
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches597
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%57.8%+3.8 pp
Draw25.8%23.8%-2.0 pp
Away20.2%18.4%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS47.9%
Historical average
1.67–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.2%
2-112.7%
1-112.1%
2-010.7%
0-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.89–3.91
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=597.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.6%39.7%–53.7% CI
Draw FT35.2%28.8%–42.2% CI
Away FT18.1%13.3%–24.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals13.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.7%
Away40.9%