Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 17:30
11.7354.0%
X3.6225.8%
24.6320.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eldense
DLLLWLDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Malaga
DWLLWDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.70
Against
6.20
10.60
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Eldense attack

0.90goals per match
Malaga conceded1.50
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.20goals per match
Eldense conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.20
10.60
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.40
Match total
26.20

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches597
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%57.8%+3.8 pp
Draw25.8%23.8%-2.0 pp
Away20.2%18.4%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.670.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
2-112.7%
1-112.1%
2-010.7%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.893.91
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=597.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.6%39.7%–53.7% CI
Draw FT35.2%28.8%–42.2% CI
Away FT18.1%13.3%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.7%
Away40.9%