Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 13:00
12.2142.3%
X3.2528.8%
23.2328.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
LDWWLWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Oviedo
WWWDWLLDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
4.20
10.60
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Santander attack

2.10goals per match
Oviedo conceded0.90
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.50goals per match
Santander conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.20
10.60
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.00
Match total
5.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
29.20
Match total
30.10

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.10
On target
4.90
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%42.8%+0.5 pp
Draw28.8%30.9%+2.2 pp
Away28.9%26.3%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.411.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-011.8%
2-110.4%
0-08.8%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.43
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,384.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches447
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.0%31.7%–40.6% CI
Draw FT39.6%35.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT24.4%20.6%–28.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away41.4%