Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-05 · 19:30
11.8550.4%
X3.5826.0%
23.9523.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
WWLLLWWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sp Gijon
LDDLDDDLWL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Against
5.30
7.80
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.90goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded1.30
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

0.90goals per match
Castellon conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.30
7.80
Match total
8.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
22.00
Match total
24.00

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches637
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%48.5%-1.9 pp
Draw26.0%27.5%+1.4 pp
Away23.6%24.0%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.581.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-010.4%
2-110.0%
0-08.8%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.23
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=637.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches195
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%32.4%–46.0% CI
Draw FT43.6%36.8%–50.6% CI
Away FT17.4%12.8%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.9%
Away41.5%