Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-05 · 19:30
11.8550.4%
X3.5826.0%
23.9523.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Castellon
WWLLLWWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sp Gijon
LDDLDDDLWL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Against
5.30
7.80
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Castellon attack
1.90goals per matchSp Gijon conceded1.30Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
0.90goals per matchCastellon conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.30
7.80
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
22.00
Match total
24.00
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches637
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%48.5%-1.9 pp
Draw26.0%27.5%+1.4 pp
Away23.6%24.0%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS53.1%
Historical average
1.58–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-010.4%
2-110.0%
0-08.8%
2-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.95–4.23
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=637.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches195
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%32.4%–46.0% CI
Draw FT43.6%36.8%–50.6% CI
Away FT17.4%12.8%–23.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals16.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.9%
Away41.5%