Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 17:30
11.5460.4%
X4.0622.9%
25.5816.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WDDDDDWWWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Eldense
LLDWDWWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.10
Against
4.70
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.50goals per match
Eldense conceded1.10
Matchup

Eldense attack

0.90goals per match
Almeria conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
20%2/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.70
9.50
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.20
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
26.90
Match total
26.00

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.90
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches432
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.4%62.0%+1.6 pp
Draw22.9%19.9%-3.0 pp
Away16.7%18.1%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

2.000.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.8%
1-110.4%
2-19.7%
1-09.5%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.69
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=432.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.8%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.5%40.1%–58.9% CI
Draw FT31.4%23.3%–40.8% CI
Away FT19.0%12.7%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.8%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.6%
Away46.7%