Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 20:00
13.2129.1%
X2.8932.3%
22.4238.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
WDWLWLWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Elche
DWDLDLDWWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
4.70
8.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.30goals per match
Elche conceded1.00
Matchup

Elche attack

0.90goals per match
Burgos conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.70
8.10
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.60
Match total
5.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.60
Match total
29.30

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.1%33.3%+4.2 pp
Draw32.3%25.5%-6.8 pp
Away38.6%41.2%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

0.961.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.6%
0-115.7%
2-19.8%
0-09.8%
1-29.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.474.33
Average total7.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.535.3%
Over 9.523.5%
Over 10.513.7%
Over 11.57.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals10.0%
3+ goals5.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away40.0%