Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 17:30
13.0730.5%
X3.1230.0%
22.3739.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DWDLDWLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Granada
LDLWDLLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.00
9.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.10goals per match
Granada conceded1.70
Matchup

Granada attack

1.20goals per match
Malaga conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.00
9.90
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
31.10
Match total
27.80

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.00
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches580
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%30.9%+0.4 pp
Draw30.0%27.8%-2.2 pp
Away39.5%41.4%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.081.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
0-111.9%
1-010.7%
0-09.1%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.574.94
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=580.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.2%22.2%–35.0% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.7%–47.6% CI
Away FT31.4%25.2%–38.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.3%
Away48.4%