Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 17:30
13.0730.5%
X3.1230.0%
22.3739.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Malaga
DWDLDWLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Granada
LDLWDLLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
5.00
9.90
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Malaga attack
1.10goals per matchGranada conceded1.70Matchup
Granada attack
1.20goals per matchMalaga conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.00
9.90
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
31.10
Match total
27.80
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.00
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches580
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%30.9%+0.4 pp
Draw30.0%27.8%-2.2 pp
Away39.5%41.4%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
1.08–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
0-111.9%
1-010.7%
0-09.1%
1-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.57–4.94
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=580.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches188
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.2%22.2%–35.0% CI
Draw FT40.4%33.7%–47.6% CI
Away FT31.4%25.2%–38.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.3%
Away48.4%