Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-29 · 19:30
11.2972.4%
X5.0518.5%
210.209.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WWDDDDDWWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Ferrol
WLLWLLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.60
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
1.50goals per matchFerrol conceded2.40Matchup
Ferrol attack
0.60goals per matchAlmeria conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.50
Match total
25.60
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
5.30
On target
1.80
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%75.2%+2.9 pp
Draw18.5%18.8%+0.3 pp
Away9.2%5.9%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS43.6%
Historical average
2.23–0.66
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-018.8%
1-011.9%
3-08.9%
2-17.9%
4-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
7.42–2.81
Average total10.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.6%43.7%–75.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT6.1%1.7%–19.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.8%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals30.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away30.3%