Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-29 · 19:30
11.2972.4%
X5.0518.5%
210.209.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WWDDDDDWWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Ferrol
WLLWLLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.60
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.50goals per match
Ferrol conceded2.40
Matchup

Ferrol attack

0.60goals per match
Almeria conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.10
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.50
Match total
25.60

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
5.30
On target
1.80
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%75.2%+2.9 pp
Draw18.5%18.8%+0.3 pp
Away9.2%5.9%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS43.6%

Historical average

2.230.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.8%
1-011.9%
3-08.9%
2-17.9%
4-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.422.81
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.6%43.7%–75.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT6.1%1.7%–19.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.8%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals30.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away30.3%