Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 17:30
12.8532.8%
X3.1829.4%
22.4737.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DDWDLDWLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Castellon
DLLLWDLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.70
Against
4.30
9.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.00goals per match
Castellon conceded1.80
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.00goals per match
Malaga conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.30
9.50
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.80
Match total
2.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
32.00
Match total
25.40

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%30.4%-2.4 pp
Draw29.4%27.1%-2.3 pp
Away37.8%42.5%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.121.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
0-111.7%
1-09.9%
0-08.6%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.895.04
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=454.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%21.1%–34.5% CI
Draw FT36.4%29.4%–43.9% CI
Away FT36.4%29.4%–43.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away55.2%