Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 19:30
11.8151.6%
X3.2328.9%
24.7919.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Eibar
WWWDDLDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Malaga
LDWLLWDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.90
Against
6.30
8.60
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Eibar attack
1.30goals per matchMalaga conceded1.50Matchup
Malaga attack
1.00goals per matchEibar conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.30
8.60
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.90
Match total
26.70
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.40
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%55.1%+3.5 pp
Draw28.9%30.8%+1.9 pp
Away19.5%14.1%-5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS36.9%
Historical average
1.42–0.66
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.7%
2-014.6%
0-014.1%
1-111.6%
2-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–3.76
Average total8.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.6%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.526.3%
Over 11.516.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%30.5%–52.6% CI
Draw FT46.6%35.6%–57.9% CI
Away FT12.3%6.6%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.04
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.6%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.4%
Away26.0%