Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 20:00
12.2840.9%
X3.5826.1%
22.8333.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
DWWLLLWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Almeria
WDWWLLDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.20
Against
4.90
8.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.50goals per match
Almeria conceded1.60
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.50goals per match
Castellon conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.90
8.40
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.20
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
22.00
Match total
28.60

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
16.50N=10
5.70
On target
5.60
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%39.5%-1.4 pp
Draw26.1%24.0%-2.0 pp
Away33.0%36.4%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.538.0%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.551.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.1%
1-19.7%
1-08.9%
2-17.4%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.92
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=257.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%30.6%–53.1% CI
Draw FT41.4%30.6%–53.1% CI
Away FT17.1%10.1%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.9%
Away38.6%