Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 17:30
12.2242.0%
X3.1130.0%
23.3427.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eldense
WDDLLLWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Sp Gijon
WDLDDLDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
4.70
9.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Eldense attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.00goals per match
Eldense conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.70
9.90
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.10
Match total
23.80

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.80
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,025
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%42.7%+0.7 pp
Draw30.0%32.6%+2.6 pp
Away27.9%24.7%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.300.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-013.3%
2-010.2%
0-09.8%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.24
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,024.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches371
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.0%30.4%–40.0% CI
Draw FT43.7%38.7%–48.8% CI
Away FT21.3%17.4%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.5%
Away44.5%