Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 15:15
11.9947.0%
X3.5426.4%
23.5126.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
WLLDWWLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Castellon
DDLLLWDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.40
Against
3.90
10.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Santander attack

2.00goals per match
Castellon conceded1.80
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.00goals per match
Santander conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.90
10.10
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.10
Match total
2.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
30.10
Match total
25.20

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.90
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches259
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%45.9%-1.0 pp
Draw26.4%27.4%+1.0 pp
Away26.6%26.6%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.671.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-08.5%
2-18.1%
1-07.7%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.27
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=259.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%30.2%–52.5% CI
Draw FT39.4%28.9%–51.1% CI
Away FT19.7%12.1%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away43.7%