Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-07 · 19:30
11.3270.7%
X4.7219.8%
29.839.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
LWWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Ferrol
DDWLLWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.60
0.50
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.90
Against
6.20
8.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Elche attack

2.20goals per match
Ferrol conceded2.00
Matchup

Ferrol attack

0.60goals per match
Elche conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.20
8.50
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
30.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.40
On target
2.10
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.7%81.8%+11.1 pp
Draw19.8%18.2%-1.6 pp
Away9.5%0.0%-9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.730.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.2%
3-118.2%
4-018.2%
0-09.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

9.002.18
Average total11.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away36.4%