Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 20:00
12.0844.9%
X3.1429.8%
23.6925.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Gijon
LWLLDWDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Tenerife
LLLLLDLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
10.00
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.00goals per matchTenerife conceded1.90Matchup
Tenerife attack
0.50goals per matchSp Gijon conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
10.00
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
26.10
Match total
29.40
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.60
On target
2.10
7%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches234
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%51.3%+6.4 pp
Draw29.8%29.1%-0.7 pp
Away25.3%19.7%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS44.9%
Historical average
1.41–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.2%
0-013.7%
2-111.1%
1-19.8%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.38–3.78
Average total9.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=234.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.2%32.5%–52.5% CI
Draw FT43.3%33.6%–53.6% CI
Away FT14.4%8.6%–23.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.4%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals14.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.2%
Away30.0%