Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 15:15
11.6456.8%
X3.5826.0%
25.4317.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
WLWLDWDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Malaga
DLLDWLLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.10
Against
6.30
9.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.20goals per match
Malaga conceded1.60
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.10goals per match
Oviedo conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.30
9.40
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.30
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
28.60
Match total
27.40

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%50.4%-6.4 pp
Draw26.0%29.9%+3.9 pp
Away17.2%19.7%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS44.5%

Historical average

1.390.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.3%
1-014.6%
0-013.1%
1-110.9%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.553.35
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.0%
Over 9.539.4%
Over 10.528.5%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.1%30.5%–56.7% CI
Draw FT43.1%30.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT13.7%6.8%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals31.4%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away27.5%