Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 17:30
11.8749.8%
X3.5326.4%
23.9123.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
DWLLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Zaragoza
WDDDLLWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.90goals per match
Zaragoza conceded1.80
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

1.40goals per match
Santander conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
9.70
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
17.80N=10
29.70
Match total
32.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches832
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%48.2%-1.6 pp
Draw26.4%28.0%+1.6 pp
Away23.8%23.8%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.541.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-011.8%
2-19.3%
0-09.1%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.22
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=832.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches267
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.8%32.2%–43.8% CI
Draw FT38.6%32.9%–44.5% CI
Away FT23.6%18.9%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.5%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away40.8%