Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 17:30
14.5420.5%
X3.6125.8%
21.7453.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cartagena
LWLWDLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Castellon
DDDLLLWDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
0.70
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.40
Against
4.60
9.60
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
1.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cartagena attack
0.40goals per matchCastellon conceded1.80Matchup
Castellon attack
1.00goals per matchCartagena conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.60
9.60
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
25.70
Match total
26.50
Shots
9.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.90
On target
2.60
4%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches191
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%22.0%+1.4 pp
Draw25.8%20.4%-5.4 pp
Away53.6%57.6%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
0.88–1.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-214.7%
0-114.7%
1-112.6%
1-28.4%
0-36.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.04–5.55
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=191.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.526.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.4%19.0%–40.1% CI
Draw FT23.9%15.3%–35.3% CI
Away FT47.8%36.3%–59.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals46.3%
3+ goals20.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.3%
Away65.7%