Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 13:00
12.5337.0%
X2.8632.7%
23.0830.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eldense
WWDDLLLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Burgos
LLLDDLWLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.90
Against
3.30
10.00
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Eldense attack

1.10goals per match
Burgos conceded1.30
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.70goals per match
Eldense conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.30
10.00
Match total
7.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.40
Match total
28.00

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.50
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.0%39.1%+2.1 pp
Draw32.7%32.1%-0.6 pp
Away30.4%28.8%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.512.8%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.100.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.5%
1-017.3%
0-111.5%
0-09.0%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.564.14
Average total8.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.1%
Over 9.535.3%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.514.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.0%25.4%–50.4% CI
Draw FT35.2%23.8%–48.5% CI
Away FT27.8%17.6%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away38.9%