Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-22 · 17:30
12.2142.4%
X3.1929.3%
23.3128.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mirandes
WDWWDWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Santander
WWDLLDWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.90
Against
4.70
7.40
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mirandes attack

2.20goals per match
Santander conceded1.60
Matchup

Santander attack

1.20goals per match
Mirandes conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.70
7.40
Match total
8.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
29.50
Match total
29.90

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%41.5%-0.9 pp
Draw29.3%32.8%+3.5 pp
Away28.3%25.7%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.321.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
1-011.6%
0-09.7%
2-18.9%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.32
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,224.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.7%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches422
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.9%28.6%–37.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%38.3%–47.7% CI
Away FT24.2%20.3%–28.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away43.8%