Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-22 · 17:30
11.8750.0%
X3.1130.1%
24.6919.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
WWDDWDLDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ferrol
LDDWLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
6.60
9.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
1.70
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.00goals per match
Ferrol conceded2.00
Matchup

Ferrol attack

0.60goals per match
Malaga conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.60
9.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
31.90
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.60
On target
2.20
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%52.7%+2.7 pp
Draw30.1%33.7%+3.6 pp
Away19.9%13.6%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

1.450.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.2%
1-015.2%
1-114.1%
2-011.4%
2-110.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.533.51
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.529.3%
Over 11.520.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%32.4%–55.2% CI
Draw FT47.8%36.5%–59.4% CI
Away FT8.7%4.0%–17.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.4%
2+ goals29.0%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away27.5%