Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-21 · 19:30
13.4027.6%
X3.0031.3%
22.2841.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burgos
DLWWDWLWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Almeria
DWWDWWLLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.00
Against
4.90
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burgos attack
0.80goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.30Matchup
Almeria attack
1.70goals per matchBurgos conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.90
9.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.20
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.20
Match total
30.40
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
3.60
On target
5.60
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches209
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%29.2%+1.6 pp
Draw31.3%32.1%+0.8 pp
Away41.1%38.8%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.06–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
0-114.4%
1-012.0%
0-09.6%
2-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.10–4.81
Average total8.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=209.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.537.8%
Over 10.528.2%
Over 11.518.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%18.6%–40.1% CI
Draw FT43.8%32.3%–55.9% CI
Away FT28.1%18.6%–40.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals26.6%
3+ goals4.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.2%
Away40.6%