Segunda Division · 2024/25
2025-03-21 · 19:30
13.4027.6%
X3.0031.3%
22.2841.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
DLWWDWLWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Almeria
DWWDWWLLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.00
Against
4.90
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.50
Total goals
3.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.80goals per match
Almeria conceded1.30
Matchup

Almeria attack

1.70goals per match
Burgos conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.90
9.00
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.20
Match total
5.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.20
Match total
30.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
3.60
On target
5.60
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches209
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%29.2%+1.6 pp
Draw31.3%32.1%+0.8 pp
Away41.1%38.8%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.061.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
0-114.4%
1-012.0%
0-09.6%
2-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.104.81
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=209.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.537.8%
Over 10.528.2%
Over 11.518.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%18.6%–40.1% CI
Draw FT43.8%32.3%–55.9% CI
Away FT28.1%18.6%–40.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals26.6%
3+ goals4.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.2%
Away40.6%